Wisconsin severe weather threat Monday; hail, wind, tornadoes all possible
MILWAUKEE - The Midwest into the Great Lakes region has the highest outlook for tornadoes, damaging wind, and large hail to occur on Monday.
The Storm Prediction Center has issued southeast Wisconsin under an enhanced (orange) risk inland and slight (yellow) risk southern lakeside Monday (April 28) into early Tuesday morning (April 29).
Windy conditions will continue with wind gusts 30-45mph Monday into Tuesday with higher winds within storms.
The main impacts if storms do become severe will be damaging winds, large hail, and tornadoes. Due to the potential of heavy rain, there is a marginal risk for flooding.
Severe weather potential
What we know:
While all types of severe hazards are possible, it all depends on when and if storms can form and survive in a capped environment.
This is a tricky forecast because, while the ingredients are present for severe storms, there are limiting factors that can inhibit development.
There is a layer of warm air above the surface that can potentially prevent storms from becoming strong or developing. Either way, with the strong forcing in place, storms will have to be monitored carefully.
On Monday evening, isolated to scattered storms are possible that could produce all hazards. Heading into overnight Monday and into the early hours of Tuesday, a line of storms is likely to form near the front that will bring the threats of damaging winds and quick spin-up tornadoes.
Forecasting challenges
What we don't know:
Models and phone apps have struggled to show any storms due to the warmer air aloft in the sky. But, if storms do develop, they can quickly become volatile across the state.
Be weather-aware on Monday and stay tuned with your FOX6 Weather Experts.
FOX6 Weather Extras
Meanwhile, FOX6Now.com offers a variety of extremely useful weather tools to help you navigate the stormy season. They include the following:
FOX6 Storm Center app
FOX LOCAL Mobile app
FOX Weather app
What is the FOX Model?
What is the FOX Model?
FOX Weather Expert Tom Wachs explains the value of the FOX Model for our team -- and our viewers.
FOX Weather
Maps and radar
We have a host of maps and radars on the FOX6 Weather page that are updating regularly — to provide you the most accurate assessment of the weather. From a county-by-county view to the Midwest regional radar and a national view — it’s all there.
School and business closings
When the weather gets a little dicey, schools and businesses may shut down. Monitor the latest list of closings, cancellations, and delays reported in southeast Wisconsin.
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The Source: The information in this report is from the FOX6 Weather Experts and National Weather Service.